Kidderminster vs Gateshead

16 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Kidderminster

Gateshead

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 12.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.1% 1.49 DRAW 20.2% 4.80 AWAY 14.7% 6.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kidderminster clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.7% win probability, compared with 65.1% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kidderminster has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kidderminster Gateshead

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Kidderminster, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kidderminster Gateshead

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Kidderminster has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kidderminster Gateshead

The combined recent performance profile favours Kidderminster.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kidderminster ↓ -0.19 (-11.5%)

Gateshead ↑ +2.03 (+44.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.