Altrincham vs Hartlepool

16 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Altrincham

Hartlepool

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 33.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.39 DRAW 27.0% 3.54 AWAY 33.0% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Altrincham

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Altrincham Hartlepool

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Altrincham, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Altrincham Hartlepool

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Hartlepool has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Altrincham Hartlepool

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Altrincham ↑ +0.09 (+3.9%)

Hartlepool ↑ +0.10 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.