Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Tonbridge Angels

Maidstone Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.7% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 42.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.6% 2.89 DRAW 26.1% 3.60 AWAY 41.3% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Maidstone Utd has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tonbridge Angels Maidstone Utd

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tonbridge Angels Maidstone Utd

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Maidstone Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tonbridge Angels Maidstone Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Maidstone Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tonbridge Angels ↑ +0.05 (+1.6%)

Maidstone Utd ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.