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England National League South · GB

Salisbury FC vs Slough

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45
STRONG EDGE HOME +6.5 pp
Salisbury FC
Slough
HOME 77.1% DRAW 13.1% AWAY 9.8%
HOME 70.5% 1.40 DRAW 16.0% 6.16 AWAY 13.5% 7.34

StochasticBet rates Salisbury FC substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.1% win probability, compared with 70.5% implied by the market. The 6.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Salisbury FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Salisbury FC Slough
Shots 15.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Salisbury FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Salisbury FC Slough
Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.5

Salisbury FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Salisbury FC Slough

The combined recent performance profile favours Salisbury FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Salisbury FC ↓ -0.10 (-6.7%)
Slough ↑ +2.50 (+50.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.