Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Hampton & Richmond

Farnborough

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% 2.77 DRAW 23.4% 4.07 AWAY 42.3% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hampton & Richmond

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hampton & Richmond Farnborough

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Hampton & Richmond, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hampton & Richmond Farnborough

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Farnborough has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hampton & Richmond Farnborough

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Hampton & Richmond ↑ +0.23 (+9.1%)

Farnborough ↓ -0.04 (-1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.