Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Folkestone Invicta

Horsham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% 1.91 DRAW 25.4% 3.75 AWAY 24.6% 3.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Folkestone Invicta

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Folkestone Invicta Horsham

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Folkestone Invicta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Folkestone Invicta Horsham

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Horsham has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Folkestone Invicta Horsham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Folkestone Invicta = (0.0%)

Horsham ↑ +0.45 (+13.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.