Chesham vs Billericay Town

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Chesham

Billericay Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.93 DRAW 25.3% 3.71 AWAY 25.8% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Billericay Town

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chesham Billericay Town

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chesham Billericay Town

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chesham Billericay Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Chesham ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

Billericay Town ↑ +0.34 (+10.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.