Weston Super Mare vs AFC Totton

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Weston Super Mare

AFC Totton

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.4% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% 1.74 DRAW 25.3% 3.71 AWAY 20.5% 4.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AFC Totton

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Weston Super Mare AFC Totton

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Weston Super Mare AFC Totton

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.3

Weston Super Mare has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Weston Super Mare AFC Totton

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Weston Super Mare ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

AFC Totton ↑ +0.42 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.