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England National League North · GB

Chester vs Morecambe

31 Aug 2026 · 16:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 53.4%
Draw 24.3%
Away 22.2%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 29.1 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Chester has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Chester Morecambe
Shots 13.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Chester, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Chester Morecambe
Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Chester has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Chester Morecambe

The combined recent performance profile favours Chester.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Chester ↓ -0.38 (-17.9%)
Morecambe ↑ +1.04 (+31.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.750
Shot rating 45
Shots-on-target rating 13
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.