England National League North · GB

Buxton vs Merthyr Town

31 Aug 2026 · 16:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 55.8%

Draw 22.3%

Away 21.9%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 33.5 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Buxton Merthyr Town

Shots 13.8 · On target 8.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Buxton Merthyr Town

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Buxton Merthyr Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Buxton ↓ -0.12 (-6.8%)

Merthyr Town ↑ +0.29 (+7.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.184

Shot rating 6

Shots-on-target rating 9

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.