Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Spennymoor Town

Spalding United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 45.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% 3.04 DRAW 25.9% 3.68 AWAY 42.7% 2.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Spalding United

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spennymoor Town Spalding United

Shots 4.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Spalding United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spennymoor Town Spalding United

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Spalding United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spennymoor Town Spalding United

The combined recent performance profile favours Spalding United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Spennymoor Town ↑ +0.04 (+1.3%)

Spalding United ↑ +0.06 (+2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.