Chorley vs Darlington 1883

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Chorley

Darlington 1883

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 35.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.37 DRAW 26.9% 3.58 AWAY 32.6% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Darlington 1883 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.1% win probability, compared with 32.6% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Darlington 1883 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chorley Darlington 1883

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Darlington 1883, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chorley Darlington 1883

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Darlington 1883 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chorley Darlington 1883

The combined recent performance profile favours Darlington 1883.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chorley ↑ +0.37 (+18.5%)

Darlington 1883 ↓ -0.15 (-4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.