AFC Telford vs Oxford City

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

AFC Telford

Oxford City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% 2.56 DRAW 26.4% 3.67 AWAY 35.8% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Oxford City has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AFC Telford Oxford City

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Oxford City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AFC Telford Oxford City

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Oxford City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AFC Telford Oxford City

The combined recent performance profile favours Oxford City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

AFC Telford ↑ +0.28 (+12.3%)

Oxford City ↑ +0.08 (+2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.