Grenoble Claix (W) vs Auxerre (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Grenoble Claix (W)

Auxerre (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 55.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% 4.41 DRAW 23.9% 3.90 AWAY 54.9% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Auxerre (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grenoble Claix (W) Auxerre (W)

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grenoble Claix (W) Auxerre (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grenoble Claix (W) Auxerre (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Grenoble Claix (W) ↑ +0.26 (+6.3%)

Auxerre (W) ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.