FK Egnatia vs Skenderbeu Korce

04 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

FK Egnatia

Skenderbeu Korce

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.3% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 13.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% 1.50 DRAW 23.8% 3.89 AWAY 14.4% 6.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Egnatia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Egnatia Skenderbeu Korce

Shots 14.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Egnatia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Egnatia Skenderbeu Korce

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Egnatia Skenderbeu Korce

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Egnatia ↓ -0.03 (-2.2%)

Skenderbeu Korce ↑ +0.91 (+16.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.