Tlaxcala FC vs Cancun FC

27 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Tlaxcala FC

Cancun FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 37.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.51 DRAW 26.3% 3.70 AWAY 34.8% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cancun FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.7% win probability, compared with 34.8% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cancun FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tlaxcala FC Cancun FC

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Cancun FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tlaxcala FC Cancun FC

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Cancun FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tlaxcala FC Cancun FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Cancun FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tlaxcala FC ↓ -0.08 (-3.3%)

Cancun FC ↑ +0.36 (+13.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.