Tepatitlan FC vs Mineros de Zacatecas

19 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Tepatitlan FC

Mineros de Zacatecas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.2% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 53.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% 3.80 DRAW 23.3% 4.16 AWAY 51.1% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tepatitlan FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tepatitlan FC Mineros de Zacatecas

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tepatitlan FC Mineros de Zacatecas

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Mineros de Zacatecas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tepatitlan FC Mineros de Zacatecas

The combined recent performance profile favours Mineros de Zacatecas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tepatitlan FC ↑ +0.20 (+5.6%)

Mineros de Zacatecas ↓ -0.43 (-18.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.