Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC

06 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Jaiba Brava

Venados FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.0% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.1% 1.93 DRAW 26.4% 3.66 AWAY 23.5% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Venados FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jaiba Brava Venados FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Venados FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jaiba Brava Venados FC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Jaiba Brava has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jaiba Brava Venados FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Venados FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jaiba Brava ↑ +0.24 (+14.3%)

Venados FC ↓ -0.21 (-4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.