Cancun FC vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo

06 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Cancun FC

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 31.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% 2.26 DRAW 26.6% 3.66 AWAY 30.4% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cancun FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cancun FC Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Shots 14.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Cancun FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cancun FC Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cancun FC Cruz Azul Hidalgo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cancun FC ↑ +0.09 (+4.1%)

Cruz Azul Hidalgo ↑ +0.12 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.