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Mexico Liga de Expansion · MX

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tepatitlan FC

29 Aug 2026 · 20:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 51.7%
Draw 25.3%
Away 23.0%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 26.5 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tepatitlan FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack

Cruz Azul Hidalgo Tepatitlan FC
Shots / match 10.3 12.0
On target / match 3.5 5.0

Defence

Cruz Azul Hidalgo Tepatitlan FC
Shots allowed / match 12.0 15.5
On target allowed / match 4.8 8.0

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Cruz Azul Hidalgo ↑ +0.00 (+0.1%)
Tepatitlan FC ↑ +1.00 (+28.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.164
Shot rating 7
Shots-on-target rating 7
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.