NK Race vs SD Videm

11 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

NK Race

SD Videm

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 36.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% 2.38 DRAW 24.8% 3.70 AWAY 36.7% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SD Videm

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Race SD Videm

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours SD Videm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Race SD Videm

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8

NK Race has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Race SD Videm

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Race ↑ +0.08 (+3.3%)

SD Videm = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.