Piratas vs Venados FC

19 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Piratas

Venados FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% 1.63 DRAW 22.2% 4.32 AWAY 19.2% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Piratas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Piratas Venados FC

Shots 16.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Piratas Venados FC

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Piratas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Piratas Venados FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Piratas ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Venados FC ↑ +0.16 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.