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Slovenia 3. SNL · SI

NK Sobec Lesce vs NK Skofja Loka

28 Oct 2026 · 15:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for NK Sobec Lesce. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.84 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.03. At this price, a home win for NK Sobec Lesce does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
NK Sobec Lesce
STOCHASTICBET 49.2%
PINNACLE 48.2% odd 1.84
DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.7%
PINNACLE 23.9% odd 3.71
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY
NK Skofja Loka
STOCHASTICBET 27.0%
PINNACLE 27.9% odd 3.18
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 13:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: NK Skofja Loka

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Sobec Lesce NK Skofja Loka
Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours NK Skofja Loka, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Sobec Lesce NK Skofja Loka
Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.0

NK Sobec Lesce has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Sobec Lesce NK Skofja Loka

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 14:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.24 pp —
DRAW -0.15 pp —
AWAY -0.09 pp —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.