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Slovenia 3. SNL · SI

NK Rudar Trbovlje vs NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

28 Oct 2026 · 15:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for NK Rudar Trbovlje. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.87 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.04. At this price, a home win for NK Rudar Trbovlje does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
NK Rudar Trbovlje
STOCHASTICBET 48.9%
PINNACLE 47.5% odd 1.87
DIFFERENCE +1.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 20.4%
PINNACLE 20.5% odd 4.33
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
STOCHASTICBET 30.7%
PINNACLE 32.0% odd 2.78
DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 13:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: NK Rudar Trbovlje

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Rudar Trbovlje NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Rudar Trbovlje NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.5

NK Rudar Trbovlje has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Rudar Trbovlje NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 14:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.16 pp —
DRAW -0.19 pp —
AWAY +0.02 pp —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.