NK Sencur vs NK Ziri

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

NK Sencur

NK Ziri

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.6% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 10.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.4% 1.33 DRAW 17.8% 5.36 AWAY 10.9% 8.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Sencur

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Sencur NK Ziri

Shots 16.5 · On target 9.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Sencur, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Sencur NK Ziri

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Sencur NK Ziri

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Sencur.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

NK Sencur = (0.0%)

NK Ziri ↑ +1.10 (+14.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.