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Mexico U21 League · MX

Leon U21 vs Chivas Guadalajara U21

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Chivas Guadalajara U21. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.70 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.82. At this price, an away win for Chivas Guadalajara U21 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Leon U21
STOCHASTICBET 34.9%
PINNACLE 37.3% odd 2.40
DIFFERENCE -2.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.6%
PINNACLE 29.6% odd 3.02
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Chivas Guadalajara U21
STOCHASTICBET 35.5%
PINNACLE 33.1% odd 2.70
DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 12:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Chivas Guadalajara U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Leon U21 Chivas Guadalajara U21
Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Leon U21 Chivas Guadalajara U21
Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Chivas Guadalajara U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Leon U21 Chivas Guadalajara U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Chivas Guadalajara U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.