Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Cruz Azul U21

Toluca U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 41.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.88 DRAW 27.5% 3.38 AWAY 40.2% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Toluca U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cruz Azul U21 Toluca U21

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cruz Azul U21 Toluca U21

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Toluca U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cruz Azul U21 Toluca U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Toluca U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cruz Azul U21 ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

Toluca U21 ↑ +0.16 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.