Chivas Guadalajara U21 vs Queretaro U21

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Chivas Guadalajara U21

Queretaro U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.7% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 15.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% 1.58 DRAW 23.6% 4.00 AWAY 16.8% 5.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chivas Guadalajara U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.7% win probability, compared with 59.6% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chivas Guadalajara U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chivas Guadalajara U21 Queretaro U21

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Chivas Guadalajara U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chivas Guadalajara U21 Queretaro U21

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Queretaro U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chivas Guadalajara U21 Queretaro U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Chivas Guadalajara U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chivas Guadalajara U21 ↑ +0.11 (+7.5%)

Queretaro U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.