Pachuca U21 vs Tijuana U21

20 Sep 2026 · 17:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Pachuca U21

Tijuana U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 28.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.16 DRAW 28.1% 3.34 AWAY 28.5% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pachuca U21 Tijuana U21

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pachuca U21 Tijuana U21

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pachuca U21 Tijuana U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Pachuca U21 ↓ -0.14 (-6.1%)

Tijuana U21 ↑ +0.38 (+12.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.