Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Toluca U21

Santos Laguna U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.1% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% 1.50 DRAW 21.6% 4.30 AWAY 16.3% 5.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santos Laguna U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toluca U21 Santos Laguna U21

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Santos Laguna U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toluca U21 Santos Laguna U21

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Toluca U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toluca U21 Santos Laguna U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Toluca U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Toluca U21 = (0.0%)

Santos Laguna U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.