Unam Pumas U21 vs Leon U21

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Unam Pumas U21

Leon U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% 2.05 DRAW 28.3% 3.30 AWAY 26.2% 3.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leon U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Unam Pumas U21 Leon U21

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Leon U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Unam Pumas U21 Leon U21

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Unam Pumas U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Unam Pumas U21 Leon U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Unam Pumas U21 ↓ -0.17 (-7.7%)

Leon U21 ↑ +0.42 (+13.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.