Hungary NB III · HU

ESMTK vs III Keruleti TUE

08 Nov 2026 · 13:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for ESMTK. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.62 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.69. At this price, a home win for ESMTK does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365

HOME MODEL > MARKET

ESMTK

STOCHASTICBET 59.1%

BET365 55.3% odd 1.62

DIFFERENCE +3.8 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 21.2%

BET365 22.3% odd 4.00

DIFFERENCE -1.1 pp

AWAY

III Keruleti TUE

STOCHASTICBET 19.7%

BET365 22.3% odd 4.00

DIFFERENCE -2.7 pp

STOCHASTICBET

BET365 MARKET

Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 12:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: ESMTK

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ESMTK III Keruleti TUE

Shots 17.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours ESMTK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ESMTK III Keruleti TUE

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ESMTK III Keruleti TUE

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.