Ujpest II vs Szegedi VSE

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Ujpest II

Szegedi VSE

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.2% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 8.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.6% 1.33 DRAW 16.8% 5.76 AWAY 10.6% 9.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Ujpest II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.2% win probability, compared with 72.6% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ujpest II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ujpest II Szegedi VSE

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Ujpest II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ujpest II Szegedi VSE

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 9.0

Ujpest II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ujpest II Szegedi VSE

The combined recent performance profile favours Ujpest II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Ujpest II = (0.0%)

Szegedi VSE ↑ +2.65 (+40.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.