Paksi SE II vs Budafoki MTE

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Paksi SE II

Budafoki MTE

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.7% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 62.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.9% 5.60 DRAW 22.6% 4.20 AWAY 60.5% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Budafoki MTE has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paksi SE II Budafoki MTE

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Budafoki MTE, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paksi SE II Budafoki MTE

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Budafoki MTE has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paksi SE II Budafoki MTE

The combined recent performance profile favours Budafoki MTE.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Paksi SE II ↓ -0.54 (-8.8%)

Budafoki MTE ↑ +0.17 (+12.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.