Feirense U19 vs Gil Vicente U19

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Feirense U19

Gil Vicente U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 29.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.25 DRAW 26.9% 3.40 AWAY 32.5% 2.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Feirense U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.8% win probability, compared with 40.6% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Feirense U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Feirense U19 Gil Vicente U19

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Feirense U19 Gil Vicente U19

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Feirense U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Feirense U19 Gil Vicente U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Feirense U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Feirense U19 ↓ -0.25 (-10.0%)

Gil Vicente U19 ↑ +0.38 (+15.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.