SC Farense U19 vs CD Mafra U19

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

SC Farense U19

CD Mafra U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.32 DRAW 27.8% 3.30 AWAY 32.6% 2.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Mafra U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.9% win probability, compared with 32.6% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Mafra U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Farense U19 CD Mafra U19

Shots 7.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours CD Mafra U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Farense U19 CD Mafra U19

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Farense U19 CD Mafra U19

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Mafra U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SC Farense U19 ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

CD Mafra U19 ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.