Valencia U19 vs CD Castellon U19

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Valencia U19

CD Castellon U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.3% DRAW 17.7% AWAY 11.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.4% 1.33 DRAW 18.5% 5.07 AWAY 11.1% 8.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Valencia U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Valencia U19 CD Castellon U19

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Valencia U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Valencia U19 CD Castellon U19

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Valencia U19 CD Castellon U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Valencia U19 = (0.0%)

CD Castellon U19 ↑ +1.22 (+16.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.