Elche U19 vs Valencia U19

05 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Elche U19

Valencia U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 59.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.6% 5.12 DRAW 21.2% 4.50 AWAY 60.3% 1.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Valencia U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Elche U19 Valencia U19

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Elche U19 Valencia U19

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Elche U19 Valencia U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Elche U19 ↑ +1.21 (+30.8%)

Valencia U19 ↓ -0.04 (-2.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.