Sevilla U19 vs CD Mosquito U19

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Sevilla U19

CD Mosquito U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 10.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.1% 1.50 DRAW 22.0% 4.50 AWAY 11.9% 8.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sevilla U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.2% win probability, compared with 66.1% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sevilla U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sevilla U19 CD Mosquito U19

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sevilla U19 CD Mosquito U19

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Sevilla U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sevilla U19 CD Mosquito U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Sevilla U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sevilla U19 ↓ -0.05 (-3.2%)

CD Mosquito U19 ↑ +3.07 (+58.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.