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Slovakia Youth League · SK

AS Trencin U19 vs Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19

28 Oct 2026 · 11:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for AS Trencin U19. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have struggled to obtain positive results. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.25 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.33. At this price, a home win for AS Trencin U19 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
AS Trencin U19
STOCHASTICBET 75.3%
BET365 72.3% odd 1.25
DIFFERENCE +3.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 14.1%
BET365 15.7% odd 5.75
DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp
AWAY
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19
STOCHASTICBET 10.6%
BET365 12.0% odd 7.50
DIFFERENCE -1.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 20:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: AS Trencin U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
AS Trencin U19 Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19
Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
AS Trencin U19 Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 8.3

AS Trencin U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
AS Trencin U19 Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19

The combined recent performance profile favours AS Trencin U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Slovakia Youth League · 107 matches with scores · 87 with shots · coverage 81.3%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

AS Trencin U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWWWWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLLLLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
−3.27.2 actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
−3.96.5 actual
AS Trencin U19: 7.2 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 6.5 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
−1.68.8 actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
+6.817.2 actual
AS Trencin U19: 8.8 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 17.2 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
−1.14.0 actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
−2.32.8 actual
AS Trencin U19: 4.0 · league average 5.1 · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 2.8 · league average 5.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
−0.34.8 actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
+3.48.5 actual
AS Trencin U19: 4.8 · league average 5.1 · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 8.5 · league average 5.1 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
+0.932.67 actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
−0.571.17 actual
AS Trencin U19: 2.67 · league average 1.74 · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 1.17 · league average 1.74 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
+20.5 pp37.2% actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
+1.3 pp18.0% actual
AS Trencin U19: 37.2% · league average 16.7% · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 18.0% · league average 16.7% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
AS Trencin U19Home team
+0.3 pp17.0% actual
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19Away team
−2.1 pp14.6% actual
AS Trencin U19: 17.0% · league average 16.7% · 6 valid matchesTatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19: 14.6% · league average 16.7% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

AS Trencin U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Away2–22 / 22 / 2
17/10/2026Home3–210 / 45 / 2
10/10/2026Away2–16 / 242 / 9
06/10/2026Home2–16 / 84 / 6
19/09/2026Away4–37 / 126 / 7
12/09/2026Home3–012 / 35 / 3
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
25/10/2026Home2–310 / 203 / 9
17/10/2026Away1–26 / 194 / 12
11/10/2026Home3–47 / 104 / 6
06/10/2026Away1–21 / 181 / 6
20/09/2026Home0–110 / 133 / 5
13/09/2026Away0–35 / 232 / 13

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.