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Greece Super League 1 · GR

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Kalamata. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 4.31 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 4.35. At this price, an away win for Kalamata does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Asteras Tripolis
STOCHASTICBET 49.5%
PINNACLE 50.3% odd 1.92
DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 27.5%
PINNACLE 27.4% odd 3.52
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Kalamata
STOCHASTICBET 23.0%
PINNACLE 22.4% odd 4.31
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: Kalamata

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Asteras Tripolis Kalamata
Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Asteras Tripolis Kalamata
Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Kalamata has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Asteras Tripolis Kalamata

The combined recent performance profile favours Kalamata.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.