FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu

17 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Levadia Tallinn

JK Tammeka Tartu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.9% DRAW 12.4% AWAY 6.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.7% 1.24 DRAW 13.9% 7.00 AWAY 7.4% 13.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Levadia Tallinn

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Levadia Tallinn JK Tammeka Tartu

Shots 18.3 · On target 9.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Levadia Tallinn, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Levadia Tallinn JK Tammeka Tartu

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Levadia Tallinn JK Tammeka Tartu

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Levadia Tallinn.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Levadia Tallinn ↑ +0.03 (+2.1%)

JK Tammeka Tartu ↑ +2.38 (+22.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.