Olympiacos vs OFI Crete

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

Olympiacos

OFI Crete

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.8% DRAW 11.4% AWAY 5.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.8% 1.25 DRAW 13.7% 7.20 AWAY 7.6% 13.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Olympiacos clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 82.8% win probability, compared with 78.8% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Olympiacos has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olympiacos OFI Crete

Shots 16.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Olympiacos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olympiacos OFI Crete

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Olympiacos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olympiacos OFI Crete

The combined recent performance profile favours Olympiacos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Olympiacos ↑ +0.03 (+2.5%)

OFI Crete ↓ -0.10 (-0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.