Buriram United vs Chiangrai Utd

11 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Buriram United

Chiangrai Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.5% DRAW 11.8% AWAY 5.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.7% 1.16 DRAW 13.1% 7.17 AWAY 6.2% 15.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Buriram United

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Buriram United Chiangrai Utd

Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Buriram United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Buriram United Chiangrai Utd

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Buriram United Chiangrai Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Buriram United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Buriram United = (0.0%)

Chiangrai Utd = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.