Greece Super League 1 · GR

OFI Crete vs Atromitos Athinon

08 Nov 2026 · 17:30

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for OFI Crete. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.15 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.18. At this price, a home win for OFI Crete does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

OFI Crete

STOCHASTICBET 46.0%

PINNACLE 44.8% odd 2.15

DIFFERENCE +1.1 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 28.3%

PINNACLE 28.5% odd 3.38

DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp

AWAY

Atromitos Athinon

STOCHASTICBET 25.7%

PINNACLE 26.6% odd 3.62

DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: OFI Crete

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

OFI Crete Atromitos Athinon

Shots 16.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours OFI Crete, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

OFI Crete Atromitos Athinon

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Atromitos Athinon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

OFI Crete Atromitos Athinon

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 16:33:01

6h window

Outcome	Pinnacle	Bet365
HOME	+0.60 pp	+1.14 pp
DRAW	+0.32 pp	+0.07 pp
AWAY	-0.92 pp	-1.21 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

Outcome	Pinnacle	Bet365
HOME	-3.51 pp	-3.03 pp
DRAW	+1.51 pp	+0.24 pp
AWAY	+2.00 pp	+2.79 pp

Market Agreement: HOME DOWN · AWAY UP

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.