NK Lucko vs NK Dugo Selo

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

NK Lucko

NK Dugo Selo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 24.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 1.85 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 24.1% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Lucko

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Lucko NK Dugo Selo

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Lucko, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Lucko NK Dugo Selo

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.3

NK Dugo Selo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Lucko NK Dugo Selo

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Dugo Selo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Lucko = (0.0%)

NK Dugo Selo ↑ +0.18 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.