US Mondorf-Les-Bains vs UNA Strassen

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

US Mondorf-Les-Bains

UNA Strassen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.2% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 46.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% 3.45 DRAW 28.6% 3.40 AWAY 43.2% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for UNA Strassen relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.7% win probability, compared with 43.2% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

UNA Strassen has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

US Mondorf-Les-Bains UNA Strassen

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours UNA Strassen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

US Mondorf-Les-Bains UNA Strassen

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

UNA Strassen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

US Mondorf-Les-Bains UNA Strassen

The combined recent performance profile favours UNA Strassen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

US Mondorf-Les-Bains ↑ +0.80 (+30.2%)

UNA Strassen ↓ -0.22 (-8.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.