FC 03 Differdange vs Swift Hesperange

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

FC 03 Differdange

Swift Hesperange

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 95.3% DRAW 3.2% AWAY 1.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 93.7% 1.06 DRAW 4.3% 23.00 AWAY 2.0% 50.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC 03 Differdange has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC 03 Differdange Swift Hesperange

Shots 17.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours FC 03 Differdange, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC 03 Differdange Swift Hesperange

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.5

FC 03 Differdange has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC 03 Differdange Swift Hesperange

The combined recent performance profile favours FC 03 Differdange.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC 03 Differdange ↑ +0.02 (+1.9%)

Swift Hesperange ↓ -5.00 (-9.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.