Swift Hesperange vs Residence Walferdange

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Swift Hesperange

Residence Walferdange

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.1% DRAW 15.6% AWAY 73.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.2% 9.45 DRAW 15.8% 6.08 AWAY 74.0% 1.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Residence Walferdange

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Swift Hesperange Residence Walferdange

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Residence Walferdange, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Swift Hesperange Residence Walferdange

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Swift Hesperange Residence Walferdange

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Swift Hesperange ↑ +4.04 (+74.7%)

Residence Walferdange ↓ -0.32 (-19.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.