Union Berlin (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Union Berlin (W)

Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 55.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.2% 4.20 DRAW 23.2% 4.02 AWAY 54.7% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Eintracht Frankfurt (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union Berlin (W) Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union Berlin (W) Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union Berlin (W) Eintracht Frankfurt (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Eintracht Frankfurt (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Union Berlin (W) ↓ -1.29 (-23.5%)

Eintracht Frankfurt (W) ↑ +0.15 (+9.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.